Weiss Crypto Says Best Bitcoin Buying Opportunity In Years May Be Near

Weiss Crypto analyst Juan M. Villaverde argues that Bitcoin is approaching a significant buying opportunity, with his cycle and macro models suggesting a near-term pullback that would confirm the end of the bear market rather than a structural collapse. He expects a correction toward $65,000-$66,000 as a bullish setup, while emphasizing the February low should not be retested based on bond-market and liquidity signals.

Weiss Crypto's analysis centers on distinguishing between a correction within a bull regime and a bear-market continuation, a critical distinction for market participants. Villaverde's framework integrates three analytical layers—macro signals, liquidity models, and Hurst cycle analysis—which have historically tracked Bitcoin's moves despite temporary deviations from geopolitical events. The February low represented a confluence point he identified a year in advance, and the subsequent rally's weakness relative to expected targets suggests liquidity constraints rather than structural bearishness.

The broader context reveals institutional capital's influence on Bitcoin's price structure. Unlike previous bear markets characterized by sharp 50%+ drawdowns, the current cycle shows shallower retracements, indicating floor-building by sophisticated buyers. Villaverde's bond-market model, which forecasts 13 months ahead, remains crucial—if it prevents retesting the February low, Bitcoin likely avoids deeper capitulation. The failed Clarity Act catalyst, initially expected to override bearish signals, redirected focus toward technical structure rather than legislative tailwinds.

For investors, this analysis carries dual implications. A pullback toward $65,000-$66,000 would fulfill Villaverde's framework while generating entry points through options strategies rather than aggressive spot accumulation. The distinction matters operationally: selling calls at current levels ($80,000) captures premium while protecting against upside, while staged put-selling lower creates defined-risk long exposure if capitulation arrives. The risk lies in the analysis's reliance on forward-looking models that can break if macro conditions fundamentally shift, particularly around inflation, Fed policy, or geopolitical escalation affecting energy markets.

• →Weiss Crypto expects a near-term Bitcoin correction toward $65,000-$66,000 that would confirm the bear market's end rather than a deeper collapse.
• →Villaverde's bond-market and liquidity models suggest the February low should not be retested, providing structural support for a bullish regime.
• →Bitcoin's shallow bear-market structure compared to historical cycles indicates institutional demand is shaping the recovery pattern.
• →Geopolitical disruptions around Iran created temporary deviations from macro models but did not invalidate the broader bullish framework.
• →The analyst is deploying options strategies—selling calls and puts—rather than aggressive spot buying, indicating cautious positioning ahead of expected volatility.