U.S. intel assessment: Iran regime change was unlikely in either short or long war, sources say

A U.S. intelligence assessment completed in February concluded that American military intervention would not likely lead to regime change in Iran, whether through limited airstrikes or prolonged military action. The assessment was completed shortly before the U.S. and Israel launched military operations against Iran.

• →U.S. National Intelligence Council assessed in February that military intervention would not achieve Iranian regime change.
• →The intelligence finding covered both limited airstrikes and prolonged military campaigns as ineffective for regime change.
• →The assessment was completed shortly before U.S. and Israeli military operations against Iran began.
• →Intelligence agencies determined regime change was unlikely in both short-term and long-term military scenarios.