AINeutralarXiv – CS AI · 10h ago6/10
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Prediction Bottlenecks Don't Discover Causal Structure (But Here's What They Actually Do)
Researchers rigorously tested claims that Mamba state-space models can discover causal structure through prediction-only training, finding the method underperforms classical approaches like PCMCI and Granger causality. The apparent success in earlier experiments was largely attributable to sample-size confounds and non-standard intervention semantics rather than genuine architectural advantages.