AINeutralarXiv – CS AI · May 116/10
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The Endogeneity of Miscalibration: Impossibility and Escape in Scored Reporting
A theoretical paper demonstrates that principals using standard scoring rules to oversee strategic AI agents face an inherent impossibility: achieving both honest reporting and accurate calibration simultaneously. The research identifies step-function approval thresholds as the only mechanism that preserves calibration while maintaining incentive compatibility, with specific equivalence properties under the Brier score.