#llm-forecasting News & Analysis

2 articles tagged with #llm-forecasting. AI-curated summaries with sentiment analysis and key takeaways from 50+ sources.

2 articles

AINeutralarXiv – CS AI · Jun 236/10

🧠

Leakage-Aware Benchmarking of LLM Forecasting: Real-Time Nowcasts as the Decision-Time Input for Macro Factor Ranking

Researchers benchmark a retrieval-augmented LLM system for equity factor ranking using strictly decision-time information, avoiding data leakage common in forecasting benchmarks. The 7B model achieves modest positive results (median IC +0.154) comparable to simpler kNN baselines, suggesting real-time macro data and historical analogies drive most signal while LLMs may add marginal value in extreme rankings.

AINeutralarXiv – CS AI · Jun 96/10

🧠

InA-Probe: Instruction-Aware Active Probing for Time Series Forecasting with LLMs

Researchers propose InA-Probe, a novel framework that enables Large Language Models to perform time series forecasting through instruction-aware active probing rather than passive alignment. The method achieves up to 37% error reduction on cross-domain benchmarks and demonstrates strong generalization and zero-shot transfer capabilities.