AINeutralarXiv – CS AI · 7h ago6/10
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Conditional Coverage Diagnostics for Conformal Prediction
Researchers introduce Excess Risk of Target Coverage (ERT), a new metric framework for evaluating conditional coverage in conformal prediction systems. The approach reformulates coverage assessment as a classification problem, providing more statistically powerful diagnostics than existing methods while offering conservative estimates of miscoverage and enabling distinction between over- and under-coverage effects.