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#probabilistic-prediction News & Analysis

2 articles tagged with #probabilistic-prediction. AI-curated summaries with sentiment analysis and key takeaways from 50+ sources.

2 articles
AIBullisharXiv – CS AI · Jun 96/10
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Tyan-WP: A Wind Power Foundation Model for Ultra-Short-Term Probabilistic Forecasting

Researchers introduce Tyan-WP, a foundation model for wind power forecasting pretrained on 126,000 U.S. sites that achieves superior accuracy without site-specific training. The model addresses critical challenges in renewable energy deployment by enabling rapid turbine onboarding and probabilistic risk assessment for new wind farms.

AINeutralarXiv – CS AI · Jun 16/10
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Calibrated Preference Learning: The Case of Label Ranking

Researchers formalize calibration concepts for probabilistic label ranking, revealing that popular models often fail to align predicted probabilities with actual outcome frequencies. The framework uncovers a gap between sub-ranking and top-k calibration metrics, with implications for RLHF reward models used in AI systems.