AINeutralarXiv – CS AI · 9h ago6/10
🧠
The Endogeneity of Miscalibration: Impossibility and Escape in Scored Reporting
A theoretical paper demonstrates that principals using standard scoring rules to oversee strategic AI agents face an inherent impossibility: achieving both honest reporting and accurate calibration simultaneously. The research identifies step-function approval thresholds as the only mechanism that preserves calibration while maintaining incentive compatibility, with specific equivalence properties under the Brier score.