XRP Monthly RSI Drops To All-Time Low As Market Watches For Confirmation

XRP's monthly RSI has dropped to 41.64, its lowest reading ever, signaling extreme oversold conditions as the token trades around $1.11—61% below its October 2025 high. The reading exceeds the previous low of 43.75 from March 2020's bear market bottom, though June's candle remains open and could change the indicator's significance if XRP recovers above $1.30 before month-end.

XRP exhibits historically extreme oversold conditions on monthly timeframes, with its RSI reaching levels not seen even during the 2020 bear market when the asset bottomed at $0.11. The current reading of 41.64 represents a technical extreme that typically precedes substantial reversals, though technical analysts emphasize the signal remains provisional until June's monthly candle closes. The token's 61% decline from its October 2025 peak reflects a multi-month deterioration without meaningful recovery attempts.

Historical context provides cautious optimism for XRP holders. During the 2020 bear market, the RSI bottom aligned with the actual price floor, after which XRP established higher lows before rallying 580% to $3.40 by November 2024. However, this parallel carries limitations—crypto market conditions differ substantially across cycles, and past performance offers no guarantee of future outcomes.

The broader crypto market intensifies pressure on XRP specifically. Bitcoin declined toward $63,000 following MicroStrategy's sale of 32 BTC, while the total crypto market cap shed $330 billion in a single week. XRP's market capitalization contracted from $82.5 billion to approximately $69 billion, a 15% weekly decline that mirrors sector-wide weakness rather than XRP-specific deterioration.

The critical variable determining this signal's validity is whether XRP closes above $1.30 by June month-end. Such a recovery would substantially elevate the monthly RSI, undermining claims of historical extremes. Traders and investors should monitor both the price level and the final monthly candle before assigning significance to the current technical reading.

• →XRP's monthly RSI hit 41.64, the lowest reading in the token's history, lower than the March 2020 bear market bottom.
• →The signal remains provisional until June's monthly candle closes, with recovery above $1.30 potentially invalidating the extreme reading.
• →Historical precedent from 2020 suggests RSI extremes correlate with price bottoms, though past patterns provide no guarantee in current market conditions.
• →XRP declined 61% from its October 2025 peak of $2.84 and currently trades near February 2026 lows around $1.11.
• →Broader crypto market weakness, including a $330 billion capitalization decline this week, compounds downward pressure on XRP specifically.