#halving News & Analysis
73 articles tagged with #halving. AI-curated summaries with sentiment analysis and key takeaways from 50+ sources.
The great derivatives disconnect: Why 'negative' funding is actually a bullish signal for Bitcoin
Market analysts debate the relevance of Bitcoin's four-year halving cycle, with year-end price predictions ranging from no new all-time high to targets between $150k-$250k. The disagreement reflects broader uncertainty about whether historical patterns remain predictive in evolving cryptocurrency markets.
Bitcoin Outlook: Adam Back Keeps $1M Target Before 2028 Halving
Blockstream CEO Adam Back maintains his $1 million Bitcoin price target before the 2028 halving, while predicting the US government will likely hold seized Bitcoin rather than make new purchases to avoid creating demand shocks in the market. Back's outlook suggests governments typically accumulate Bitcoin at higher prices during later market cycles.
Bitcoin Miner Supply Shock Hasn’t Arrived Yet, New Data Suggests
New data suggests Bitcoin miners still hold meaningful OTC reserves despite tighter supply conditions than past cycles, while exchange-directed selling pressure remains elevated. Miners currently hold ~152.6K BTC in OTC balances, down from 595K BTC peak in 2018, but not yet indicating a complete supply shock.
Bitcoin Historical Data Suggests New ATH Is Years Away – Analyst
Analyst Darkfost suggests Bitcoin may be years away from a new all-time high despite current market corrections, citing historical data showing it typically takes 849-1,180 days between ATH cycles. Bitcoin reached its current ATH of $126,100 on October 6, 2025, and has been in a corrective phase for 159 days, which is relatively early compared to previous bear market cycles.
Bitcoin Correction Hits 159 Days: Here Is How This Cycle Compares to 2017 and 2021
Bitcoin has been in a correction phase for 159 days after reaching a cycle top of $126,230 on October 6, 2025. This marks the first time Bitcoin reached a new all-time high without a preceding halving event, with previous cycles taking 1,180 days (2017) and 1,093 days (2021) to recover to new highs.
Bitcoin’s Valuation Model Hints At $500K Cycle Average, Analyst Says
PlanB's Stock-to-Flow model predicts Bitcoin could average $500,000 during the 2024-2028 halving cycle, though other analysts like Bobby A estimate more conservative targets of $200,000-$250,000. Bitcoin is currently trading around $67,300, down from its recent high of $74,000, amid ongoing market consolidation and mixed ETF inflows.
Bitcoin Nears Major Scarcity Milestone With 95% of Supply Already Mined
Bitcoin is approaching a major milestone with 95% of its total supply already mined, expected to reach 20 million coins as early as next week. The remaining 5% of Bitcoin's supply will take approximately 114 years to be fully mined due to the halving mechanism built into the protocol.
Polkadot Jumps Ahead of Halving Event
Polkadot (DOT) is experiencing price gains ahead of an anticipated supply reduction event. Market analysts suggest the price movement may be primarily driven by investor sentiment rather than fundamental factors.
Why Grayscale thinks Bitcoin will ignore the 4-year cycle this time
Grayscale believes Bitcoin will break from its traditional four-year cycle pattern due to evolved market structure. The firm cites institutional adoption and macroeconomic factors as key drivers reshaping Bitcoin's price behavior beyond historical cyclical patterns.














