Bitcoin is experiencing its worst losing streak since 2018, with BTC down nearly 50% from its peak over a five-month period. Analysts are divided on whether this represents early market repricing or indicates further declines ahead.
A new Bitcoin halving-cycle model based on four cycles projects BTC will reach a cycle low of approximately $35,000 in December 2026, representing a 72.5% drawdown from a projected cycle high of $126,219. The analysis suggests the current bull market cycle has already reached its peak.
CryptoQuant data indicates Bitcoin is experiencing brutal deleveraging, suggesting the market hasn't reached its bottom yet. The analysis points to a consolidative or mid-cycle bearish regime with potential capitulation events approaching soon.
Ethereum faces volatility around the critical $2,000 level, with Binance holding 2.4 million ETH in illiquid supply that's helping absorb market volatility. The $2,000 level serves as a psychological battleground rather than confirmed support, with limited conviction in current price stabilization.
Ethereum's Net Taker Volume hit record negative levels in February, indicating severe liquidation-driven selling from $3,300 to $1,850 levels. While ETH attempts to stabilize around $2,000, the technical structure remains bearish with price below all major moving averages and $1,850 serving as a critical support level.