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#prediction-markets News & Analysis

Coverage of #prediction-markets has intensified over the past month, with 64 articles indexed in the last 30 days across outlets including Crypto Briefing, CoinDesk, and The Block. Bullish sentiment has gained ground, rising 9.8 percentage points to account for 43.8% of recent coverage, while neutral and bearish perspectives each represent 28.1%. Discussion frequently overlaps with regulatory topics and specific platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, alongside mentions of major cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin, Solana, and Ethereum. Scan the article list below to explore recent developments and ongoing debates in this space.

sentiment · last 30d (64 articles) · +9.8pp bullish vs prior 90d
Top sources:Crypto Briefing · 28CoinDesk · 18The Block · 18CoinTelegraph · 16crypto.news · 16
Most-discussed entities:Gemini · 4GPT-5 · 1
581 articles
GeneralNeutralCrypto Briefing · Jun 204/10
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Morocco defeats Scotland 1-0 with tournament’s fastest goal, tops Group C in World Cup

Morocco defeated Scotland 1-0 in a World Cup Group C match with the tournament's fastest goal, securing first place in the group. The article highlights how major sporting events are increasingly intersecting with cryptocurrency and blockchain markets, suggesting growing interest in sports-crypto derivatives and prediction markets.

Morocco defeats Scotland 1-0 with tournament’s fastest goal, tops Group C in World Cup
CryptoNeutralCrypto Briefing · Jun 205/10
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Morocco’s World Cup win over Scotland sparks crypto prediction market frenzy

Morocco's World Cup victory over Scotland triggered significant activity in cryptocurrency prediction markets, demonstrating how sports events are becoming vehicles for crypto-based speculation. This trend reflects the broader financialization of sports through blockchain technology and decentralized betting platforms.

Morocco’s World Cup win over Scotland sparks crypto prediction market frenzy
CryptoBullishCrypto Briefing · Jun 205/10
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Zywoo shines on Inferno as prediction markets bet on his legacy

ZywOo's exceptional performance in competitive CS:GO has catalyzed growth in blockchain-based prediction markets, demonstrating how esports can drive adoption of decentralized financial instruments. The convergence illustrates cryptocurrency's expanding role beyond traditional trading into niche entertainment and gaming verticals.

Zywoo shines on Inferno as prediction markets bet on his legacy
GeneralBearishCrypto Briefing · Jun 205/10
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Haiti reportedly eliminated from 2026 World Cup despite earlier qualification

Haiti's unexpected elimination from the 2026 World Cup despite earlier qualification has exposed the volatility inherent in prediction markets. This development underscores how rapidly changing circumstances in sports events can disrupt market expectations and create financial implications for those with exposure to such predictions.

Haiti reportedly eliminated from 2026 World Cup despite earlier qualification
CryptoBullishFortune Crypto · Jun 35/10
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Live updates from the NYC bar that promised to cover everyone’s tabs if the Knicks won, and used Kalshi to hedge their bets

The Jeffrey, a New York City bar, offered to cover customer tabs up to $100 if the Knicks won their game, and used Kalshi—a sports betting exchange platform—to hedge this promotional risk. This creative marketing strategy demonstrates how blockchain-based prediction markets are enabling traditional businesses to manage promotional liabilities in novel ways.

Live updates from the NYC bar that promised to cover everyone’s tabs if the Knicks won, and used Kalshi to hedge their bets
CryptoNeutralU.Today · May 285/10
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Can XRP Set New ATH in 2026? Prediction Market Weighs in

A prediction market has launched odds for XRP reaching a new all-time high by 2026, drawing attention from the XRP community. The development reflects growing interest in using decentralized prediction markets to gauge sentiment around major cryptocurrency milestones and long-term price trajectories.

$XRP
CryptoNeutralCrypto Briefing · May 125/10
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Polymarket prices 79% chance of confirmed hantavirus case by May 15

Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, is pricing a 79% probability of a confirmed hantavirus case occurring by May 15. This reflects growing market attention to zoonotic disease risks and demonstrates how cryptocurrency prediction markets aggregate public expectations around public health events.

Polymarket prices 79% chance of confirmed hantavirus case by May 15
CryptoNeutralcrypto.news · May 115/10
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Prediction markets are now trading on Elon Musk’s dopamine

Polymarket has launched 'tweet markets' allowing users to trade on Elon Musk's weekly X post volume, converting his social media activity into on-chain micro-events with significant intraday volatility. This represents a novel use case for prediction markets, monetizing celebrity behavior patterns and raising questions about the boundaries of what can be tokenized.

Prediction markets are now trading on Elon Musk’s dopamine
CryptoNeutralCrypto Briefing · May 105/10
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Trump’s Truth Social remarks boost May 2026 insult market odds

Trump's recent Truth Social posts have increased betting market odds for political insult-related events in May 2026, reflecting how his rhetoric influences public discourse and market speculation. The surge demonstrates the intersection of political messaging and prediction markets, though the article provides limited detail on specific market movements or implications.

Trump’s Truth Social remarks boost May 2026 insult market odds
CryptoNeutralDecrypt – AI · Apr 185/10
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GalaxyOne Head Wants Retail Investors to Stake More, Predict Less

Zac Prince, head of Galaxy's retail investment platform, has publicly expressed skepticism about prediction markets as a suitable component of diversified long-term investment portfolios, instead advocating for increased retail participation in staking activities. This position reflects growing industry debate about asset class suitability and risk management for retail crypto investors.

GalaxyOne Head Wants Retail Investors to Stake More, Predict Less
DeFiNeutralThe Defiant · Apr 65/10
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Polymarket Unveils Collateral Token to Replace Bridged USDC

Polymarket has launched Polymarket USD as a replacement for bridged USDC as part of a comprehensive exchange-wide upgrade. This represents a shift toward using a native collateral token for the prediction market platform.

Polymarket Unveils Collateral Token to Replace Bridged USDC
GeneralNeutralcrypto.news · Mar 275/10
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ARK invest uses Kalshi to track market expectations

ARK Invest has integrated Kalshi prediction market data into their research and investment processes to better track market expectations. This integration aims to enhance their risk management and hedging strategies by leveraging prediction market insights.

ARK invest uses Kalshi to track market expectations
DeFiBullishBankless · Mar 175/10
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4 Projects Remixing the Prediction Market Model

The article discusses four blockchain projects that are building upon and experimenting with Polymarket's prediction market model. These projects are exploring innovative approaches to expand the prediction market ecosystem beyond traditional betting formats.

4 Projects Remixing the Prediction Market Model
CryptoBullishDecrypt · Mar 175/10
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Myriad Traders Flip Bullish on Ethereum Amid Rebound to $2,300

Ethereum has rebounded to $2,300 driven by fresh capital inflows and treasury buying activity. Traders on the Myriad prediction market have shifted to bullish sentiment, reflecting growing optimism around ETH's price trajectory.

Myriad Traders Flip Bullish on Ethereum Amid Rebound to $2,300
$ETH
CryptoNeutralFortune Crypto · Mar 165/10
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Betting on 5-minute swings on Bitcoin price are the hot new thing on prediction markets

Short-term betting on Bitcoin price movements, particularly 5-minute intervals, is gaining popularity on prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. This trend reflects the growing appeal of quick-hit cryptocurrency bets as these platforms experience significant growth in user engagement.

Betting on 5-minute swings on Bitcoin price are the hot new thing on prediction markets
$BTC
CryptoBullishCrypto Briefing · Mar 165/10
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MEXC launches prediction market platform amid surge in event-based trading

MEXC exchange has launched a prediction market platform, joining the growing trend of event-based trading products in the cryptocurrency space. This follows similar moves by major exchanges like Coinbase and Kraken to expand their offerings in prediction markets.

MEXC launches prediction market platform amid surge in event-based trading
CryptoNeutralBlockonomi · Mar 164/10
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Satu Wallet Launches All-in-One Crypto Super App With $SATU Token on Solana

Satu Wallet has launched a comprehensive crypto super app featuring multi-chain wallet management, token swapping, portfolio tracking, and prediction markets, powered by the $SATU token on Solana. The non-custodial wallet is now available on both Google Play and Apple App Store, positioning itself as an all-in-one crypto management solution.

$SOL$SATU
CryptoNeutralProtos · Mar 65/10
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Are Polymarket and Kalshi decentralized?

Polymarket and Kalshi, despite their popularity in the cryptocurrency industry, are not truly decentralized platforms like other blockchain projects. This analysis examines the centralized nature of these prediction market platforms.

Are Polymarket and Kalshi decentralized?
CryptoBearishThe Defiant · Mar 35/103
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Prediction Market Fever Cooled in February

Prediction market volumes declined in February, marking the first monthly decrease since August 2025. This cooling suggests reduced interest or activity in prediction markets after a period of sustained growth.

Prediction Market Fever Cooled in February
GeneralBearishThe Defiant · Mar 35/104
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Kalshi Faces Backlash Over Khamenei Market Resolution

Kalshi, the prediction market platform, is facing controversy over how it resolved betting markets related to the death of Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. The backlash highlights ongoing concerns about the ethics and appropriateness of certain prediction market topics.

Kalshi Faces Backlash Over Khamenei Market Resolution
GeneralNeutralThe Defiant · Mar 34/104
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Kalshi Partners with Luxury Watch Marketplace Bezel

Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction market platform, has partnered with luxury watch marketplace Bezel to enable users to place bets on luxury watch prices. This partnership expands prediction market betting beyond traditional financial and political markets into alternative asset classes.

Kalshi Partners with Luxury Watch Marketplace Bezel
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