General

Russia’s Dual-War Windfall: How Two Conflicts Are Driving Oil Toward $150 Per Barrel

Markets move to price in rate hikes as inflation fears and geopolitics reshape Fed expectations

Iran dismisses diplomatic talks, says any U.S. troops would be ‘on fire’ as soon as they arrive

Dollar dominance is reinforced by the global oil trade, but the Iran war could give rise to the ‘petroyuan’ as the U.S. security shield weakens

Global M2 Hits New Highs as Central Banks Quietly Expand Money Supply Across Six Major Economies

An uneasy mix of celebration and anxiety dominates the ‘Davos of energy’ as the month-long Iran war further disrupts the global economy

Oil and gold rally as Iran locks down key oil route to US and Israeli allies

Trump extends his deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz to April 6

Trump has extended his deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz to April 6, backing down from his previous position. The article characterizes this as Trump 'chickening out' on his earlier threats regarding the crucial oil shipping route.

SpaceX IPO may allocate 30% to retail investors as Musk restructures X with job cuts

SpaceX is reportedly considering allocating up to 30% of its potential IPO shares to retail investors, while Elon Musk simultaneously restructures X with layoffs ahead of a projected $1.75 trillion valuation. This represents an unusually high retail allocation for a major tech IPO.

Lyn Alden: The world is shifting to a multipolar power structure, education quality signals empire decline, and gold’s role as a liquid asset in crises | Macro Voices

Lyn Alden discusses the global shift toward a multipolar power structure, highlighting how declining education quality signals empire decline and gold's importance as a liquid crisis asset. The analysis focuses on global power shifts and volatile oil prices threatening economic stability.

Gold Prices Slide 1.5% Amid U.S.-Iran Tensions and Shifting Fed Policy

Gold prices dropped 1.5% on Thursday due to U.S.-Iran tensions, oil prices above $100, and diminished expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. The strengthening U.S. dollar added additional downward pressure on bullion prices.

We’re no longer in a bull or bear market. We’re in a Trump market — and here’s how to navigate it

The article argues that traditional bull/bear market classifications no longer apply, suggesting investors are now in a 'Trump market' where geopolitical decisions drive extreme volatility. U.S.-Iran tensions have caused 10-15% stock swings in single sessions, making Trump's policy decisions the primary macro indicator for market movements.

Ozan Tarman: Geopolitical uncertainty drives market volatility, skepticism towards US headlines fuels investor caution, and potential equity market squeeze looms | Odd Lots

Geopolitical tensions and rising inflation are driving increased market volatility and reshaping investor strategies. Growing skepticism towards US headlines is fueling investor caution, with analysts warning of a potential equity market squeeze ahead.

Firas Modad: The political system is rigged by corporate interests, Iran’s nuclear concessions reshape negotiations, and Israel’s strategy aims for regional dysfunction | The Peter McCormack Show

Firas Modad discusses how Iran's uranium reduction and shift to missile focus is reshaping Middle East negotiations and power dynamics. The geopolitical changes are expected to impact global energy markets amid broader regional dysfunction strategies.

Reza Pahlavi: Intervention in Iran is a humanitarian necessity, untapped economic potential awaits, and a diverse coalition is key for democratic transition | All-In Podcast

Reza Pahlavi discusses Iran's potential democratic transition on the All-In Podcast, highlighting the country's untapped economic potential that could impact global markets. The discussion focuses on humanitarian intervention needs and building diverse coalitions for democratic change in Iran.

Eric Wallerstein: Geopolitical shifts prioritize natural resources, the US holds significant geoeconomic leverage, and tariffs require a broader context | Forward Guidance

Eric Wallerstein discusses how geopolitical shifts are emphasizing natural resources as strategic assets, with the US maintaining significant geoeconomic leverage. US tariffs on China are rising sharply, demonstrating America's strategic position in global economic realignments.

BlackRock CEO Fink Says $150 Oil Prices Could Spark Recession

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink warned that oil prices reaching $150 could trigger a global recession, with prolonged supply disruptions potentially keeping prices above $100 for years. He emphasized that high energy costs would increase production and transport expenses worldwide, particularly impacting lower-income households through rising fuel bills.

Federal Reserve Board releases annual audited financial statements

The Federal Reserve Board has released its annual audited financial statements, providing transparency into the central bank's financial position and operations. This routine disclosure offers insights into the Fed's balance sheet and financial performance over the past year.

Crude Oil Drops Nearly 4% on Reports of US-Iran Ceasefire Negotiations

Oil prices fell nearly 4% following reports of US ceasefire negotiations with Iran, raising hopes for Middle East de-escalation. The decline in oil prices simultaneously boosted global equity markets as geopolitical tensions appeared to ease.

Saudi Arabia Loses $300 Billion in Stock Market Value Amid Gulf Oil War Escalation

Goldman raises recession odds to 30% on higher inflation, lower GDP outlook as oil prices surge

‘Russia is the only one responsible’: Moldova imposes 60-day energy emergency after Russian strikes in Ukraine

Nobel laureate Paul Krugman calls it ‘treason’: $580 million in suspicious oil futures traded minutes before Trump’s Iran reversal

Nasdaq, Talos target collateral bottleneck in institutional tokenization push

Iran issues its largest-ever currency denomination as accelerating inflation ravages a financial sector deemed a ‘Ponzi scheme’ even before the war