#ceasefire-negotiations News & Analysis

Three-Way Bitcoin Outlook Tied To US–Iran War—Which Case Is Most Realistic?

Bitcoin's price trajectory is increasingly dependent on US-Iran geopolitical tensions rather than internal crypto market dynamics. Analyst Sam Daodu presents three scenarios—a bullish $100K year-end case via peace deal, a neutral $75-80K base case around April 15 negotiations, and a bearish $55-65K case if ceasefire collapses—with the base case viewed as most probable.